tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 186 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 186 · CUN → PHX

departs 4:14 PM EST · arrives 6:32 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
58% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    42%
  2. 15–30 min late
    36%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.