Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1984SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1984 · PHL → PHX
departs 5:30 PM ET · arrives 7:37 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
28%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.