Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2037 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

AA 2037 · DFW → CHA

departs 12:16 PM CT · arrives 3:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHA?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHA

↓ CHA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.08 in

CHA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2037 · DFW → CHA

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHA?