Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2368 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

AA 2368 · DFW → SAT

departs 5:59 PM CT · arrives 7:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SAT that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

SAT (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2368 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?