AA 2502 · DFW → OKC

departs 6:27 PM CT · arrives 7:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

OKC (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2502 · DFW → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?