Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2542 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

AA 2542 · DFW → PHL

departs 8:19 PM CT · arrives 12:35 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.18 in

PHL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2542 · DFW → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?