tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2586 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2586 · TUS → DFW

departs 12:05 PM MT · arrives 4:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
32% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.