Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2631SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2631 · SJC → PHX
departs 1:02 PM PT · arrives 3:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
26%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.