Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2757 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

AA 2757 · DFW → GEG

departs 6:53 PM CT · arrives 8:35 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GEG?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at DFW that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.18 in

GEG (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2757 · DFW → GEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to GEG?