tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2812 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2812 · DFW → OKC

departs 5:04 PM CT · arrives 6:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to OKC?

  1. On time or early
    52%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    27%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.