Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2986SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2986 · PDX → PHX
departs 2:57 PM PT · arrives 5:41 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
37%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.