Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 635 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

AA 635 · LAX → IND

departs 4:01 PM PT · arrives 11:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

↓ IND usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

IND (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 635 · LAX → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?