tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 646 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 646 · PHL → MCO

departs 6:11 PM ET · arrives 8:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    62%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.