Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 690 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

AA 690 · DFW → ELP

departs 3:48 PM CT · arrives 4:38 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.04 in

ELP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 690 · DFW → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?