AA 75 · ORD → HNL

took off 10:17 AM CT · expected to land 1:50 PM HT (scheduled 10:02 AM CT → 2:15 PM HT)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HNL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

HNL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 75 · ORD → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?