Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 899 LANDED 6:41 AM CT, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 31 Today

AA 899 · LAX → ORD

took off 1:11 AM PT · landed 6:41 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.19 in

ORD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 899 · LAX → ORD

Odds over time