Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 55 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

AS 55 · SCC → ANC

departs 8:14 AM AKT · arrives 9:58 AM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SCC that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↑ Other factors

↓ 8am departures from SCC are usually not late

↓ ANC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SCC (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 55 · SCC → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?