B6 128 · MCO → EWR

departs 2:15 PM ET · arrives 4:54 PM ET

Your aircraft is N624JB (A320), coming in as B6 768 from PSE: still at PSE, due off about 11:02 AM AT, 17 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

98% chance · ±0 pts +53 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
2%
15–30 min late
75%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

EWR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 128 · MCO → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?