Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1207
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 1207 · DTW → DFW
departs 8:15 PM ET · arrives 10:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 29%
Thu 11/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.