Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1372
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
DL 1372 · MCO → ATL
departs 4:34 PM ET · arrives 6:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 28 kt
Ceiling 2,400 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.04 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.