Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 151 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

DL 151 · ATL → LIM

departs 4:07 PM ET · arrives 9:53 PM -05

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at LIM more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LIM?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LIM

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LIM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 151 · ATL → LIM

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIM?