Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1715
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
DL 1715 · SFO → LAX
departs 2:40 PM PT · arrives 4:02 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Fri 10/30 37%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 46%
Mon 11/2 40%
Tue 11/3 33%
Wed 11/4 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.