Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1950
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 1950 · LAS → LAX
departs 5:10 PM PT · arrives 6:22 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 81%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 58%
Mon 11/2 38%
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 21%
Thu 11/5 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
5pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.