Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2267
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
DL 2267 · LAX → SFO
departs 2:25 PM PT · arrives 3:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Fri 10/30 56%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 64%
Mon 11/2 50%
Tue 11/3 42%
Wed 11/4 49%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±12 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 48% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.10 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.