Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2423
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
DL 2423 · ATL → OKC
departs 9:44 PM ET · arrives 10:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 19%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 15%
Wed 11/4 16%
Thu 11/5 22%
Fri 11/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OKC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.