Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2501
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
DL 2501 · ATL → MEM
departs 10:50 PM ET · arrives 11:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 21%
Wed 11/4 21%
Thu 11/5 28%
Fri 11/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
10pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MEM (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.