Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2542
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
DL 2542 · ATL → MSY
departs 11:05 AM ET · arrives 11:37 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 5%
Thu 10/29 7%
Fri 10/30 8%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 9%
Tue 11/3 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSY (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.