DL 256 · BOS → AMS

departs 8:23 PM ET · arrives 8:02 AM CET

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at AMS more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AMS?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at BOS that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AMS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 256 · BOS → AMS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMS?