Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2627
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 2627 · JAX → ATL
departs 7:09 PM ET · arrives 8:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 19%
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 16%
Thu 11/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from JAX are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.