Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2642 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Today

DL 2642 · ATL → PHL

departs 10:56 PM ET · arrives 12:59 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2642 · ATL → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?