Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2778
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
DL 2778 · ATL → MEM
departs 12:15 PM ET · arrives 12:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Thu 10/29 9%
Fri 10/30 10%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 14%
Mon 11/2 12%
Tue 11/3 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 3,900 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MEM (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 2,600 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.