Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Saturday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2861
SCHEDULED
Tomorrow
DL 2861 · SEA → LAX
departs 6:38 PM PT · arrives 9:07 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to LAX?
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On time or early
72%
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15–30 min late
12%
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30 min–1 hour late
8%
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1–2 hours late
5%
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Over 2 hours late
3%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.