Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2893
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 2893 · ATL → SAT
departs 6:09 PM ET · arrives 7:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 25%
Wed 11/4 24%
Thu 11/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SAT at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAT (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.