Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2959
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
DL 2959 · ATL → ICT
departs 9:28 PM ET · arrives 10:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 15%
Wed 11/4 19%
Thu 11/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 8,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ICT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 1,967 ft
Visibility 4.42857 mi
Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.