Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3040
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
DL 3040 · LIT → ATL
departs 11:08 AM CT · arrives 1:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 4%
Thu 10/29 5%
Fri 10/30 6%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 9%
Mon 11/2 7%
Tue 11/3 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at LIT that day
↑
Saturdays in October are usually busier than average
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
This flight has been late 9% of the time recently
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.18 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.