Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3127
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
DL 3127 · ATL → MLB
departs 12:10 PM ET · arrives 1:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Thu 10/29 9%
Fri 10/30 7%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 10%
Tue 11/3 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MLB more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MLB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at MLB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MLB?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MLB that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
MLB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MLB (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.