Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3161 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

DL 3161 · ATL → DFW

departs 8:13 PM ET · arrives 9:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±3 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 8pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3161 · ATL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?