Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3182
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
DL 3182 · ATL → MYR
departs 1:43 PM ET · arrives 3:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Thu 10/29 12%
Fri 10/30 9%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 14%
Mon 11/2 11%
Tue 11/3 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MYR?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
1pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MYR
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MYR (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.