Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 41 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Today

DL 41 · LAX → SYD

departs 10:27 PM PT · arrives 6:36 AM AEDT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at SYD more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SYD?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 10pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SYD

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

SYD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 41 · LAX → SYD

Odds over time

How late will it get to SYD?