DL 435 · LIH → LAX

departs 9:38 PM HT · arrives 5:14 AM PT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±3 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.03 in

LAX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 435 · LIH → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?