Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 622 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

DL 622 · LAX → AUS

departs 4:54 PM PT · arrives 9:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at AUS that day

↓ DL's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.16 in

AUS (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 622 · LAX → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?