Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 759 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

DL 759 · TPA → ATL

departs 5:36 PM ET · arrives 7:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from TPA are often late

↓ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

ATL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 759 · TPA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?