Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 822 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Today

DL 822 · LAS → RDU

departs 10:24 PM PT · arrives 4:51 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 822 · LAS → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?