Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 858 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

DL 858 · LAX → BNA

departs 2:54 PM PT · arrives 9:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ DL's recent on-time record

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.16 in

BNA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 858 · LAX → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?