DL 8846 · SFO → SLC

departs 2:35 PM PT · arrives 5:24 PM MT

Your aircraft is N663DN (B752), coming in as DL 8928 from MSP: landed 2:01 PM PT.

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

SLC (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8846 · SFO → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?