Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8894
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 8894 · MCO → PVU
departs 5:01 PM ET · arrives 7:24 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at PVU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PVU?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PVU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.