Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8895 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:54 PM ET, ETA 8:19 PM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 31 Today

DL 8895 · RDU → OAK

took off 5:54 PM ET · expected to land 8:19 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from RDU are often late

↑ Arrivals into OAK at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

↓ DL's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8895 · RDU → OAK

Odds over time