DL 8898 · ATL → GNV

took off 9:12 PM ET · expected to land 9:55 PM ET (scheduled 8:25 PM ET → 9:44 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at GNV more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GNV?

LIVE

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
46%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling7,286 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GNV (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8898 · ATL → GNV

Odds over time

How late will it get to GNV?