Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8907
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
DL 8907 · PHX → LAX
departs 1:01 PM MT · arrives 2:27 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.37 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.