DL 8916 · TUP → CSG

took off 5:43 PM CT · expected to land 7:24 PM ET (scheduled 5:10 PM CT → 7:21 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CSG more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CSG?

LIVE

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUP

↑ This route's recent record

↓ CSG usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into CSG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

TUP (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

CSG (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8916 · TUP → CSG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CSG?